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Boljan vs Varbergs GIF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boljan play Varbergs GIF in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boljan averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Varbergs GIF averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Boljan won 0, Varbergs GIF won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 26, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Boljan and 3.25 for Varbergs GIF. This points to a Boljan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Boljan
17%
Draws
37%
Varbergs GIF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Boljan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Boljan picked up more points recently compared to Varbergs GIF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 3.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Boljan Clean Sheet 10%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boljan Varbergs GIF
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.3 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Boljan vs Varbergs GIF
0:0
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Boljan
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boljan 43 / 100
Varbergs GIF 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boljan Varbergs GIF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boljan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boljan attacking → ← attacking Varbergs GIF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boljan scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Varbergs GIF let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Boljan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Varbergs GIF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 29
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 5.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laholms26193469:3360
2Tvaaker26176370:2457
3Astorps26136743:3245
4Onsala26135864:4144
5Frolunda261331050:5042
6Lindome261321163:5441
7Qviding261151057:4838
8Jonsereds26108848:4838
9BK Astrio261061055:4436
10Landvetter261031347:5533
11Hestrafors26681240:4826
12Boljan26651533:5923
13Varbergs GIF26711829:5822
14Bergdalens IK26232125:999