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Bollullos vs Conil

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ibanez F.
89'
Ponce A.
89'
Ponce A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Bollullos and Conil finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bollullos
15%
Draws
64%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conil come out ahead of Bollullos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bollullos a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bollullos Clean Sheet 19%
Conil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bollullos Conil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs Conil
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Bollullos
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Bollullos
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs Conil
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Bollullos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bollullos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bollullos 42 / 100
Conil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bollullos Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bollullos found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Conil has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Conil's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bollullos VS Conil
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bollullos

(Home)
27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
13 Sept
Bollullos
3 : 3
Betis C
06 Sept
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 0
Bollullos
23 May
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Bollullos
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Conil

(Away)
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Conil
27 Sept
Linense
3 : 1
Conil
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)