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Bolnisi vs BKMA

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bolnisi and BKMA finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BKMA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bolnisi
20%
Draws
34%
BKMA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolnisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bolnisi come out ahead of BKMA on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 16%
BKMA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi BKMA
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Bolnisi vs BKMA
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 30 / 100
BKMA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi BKMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolnisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bolnisi found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: BKMA conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Bolnisi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS BKMA
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Odishi 1919
0 : 1
Bolnisi
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
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BKMA

(Away)
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
15 Aug
BKMA
1 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
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