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Bolnisi vs BKMA

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bolnisi and BKMA finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BKMA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bolnisi
20%
Draws
38%
BKMA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolnisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bolnisi come out ahead of BKMA on wins alone.
  • Bolnisi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 19%
BKMA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi BKMA
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Bolnisi vs BKMA
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 42 / 100
BKMA 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi BKMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKMA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Bolnisi found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Bolnisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS BKMA
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Dusheti
3 : 2
Bolnisi
13 Jun
Bolnisi
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
30 May
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Bolnisi
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BKMA

(Away)
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
BKMA
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
04 Jul
BKMA
2 : 3
Shirak Gyumri
26 May
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 1
BKMA
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