Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 game between Bolnisi and Mglebi Zugdidi finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolnisi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bolnisi come out ahead of Mglebi Zugdidi on wins alone.
- Model gives Bolnisi a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 20%
Mglebi Zugdidi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolnisi | Mglebi Zugdidi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi
2:0
Nov 21, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Bolnisi vs Mglebi Zugdidi
2:2
Sep 13, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi
0:1
May 2, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Bolnisi
1:0
Dec 6, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Bolnisi vs Mglebi Zugdidi
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolnisi 58 / 100
Mglebi Zugdidi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolnisi Mglebi Zugdidi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolnisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bolnisi found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).
Mglebi Zugdidi has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Bolnisi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bolnisi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolnisi
(Home) 16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1 Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1 Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3 Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1 Telavi
22 Aug
Odishi 1919
0 : 1 Bolnisi
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12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1 Kolkheti 1913
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1 Telavi
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1 Shturmi
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3 BKMA
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2 Samtredia
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Mglebi Zugdidi
(Away) 23 May
WIT Georgia
4 : 0 Mglebi Zugdidi
17 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
1 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi
02 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
4 : 1 Meskheti
25 Apr
FC Zestaponi
3 : 1 Mglebi Zugdidi
18 Apr
Mglebi Zugdidi
1 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
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23 May
WIT Georgia
4 : 0 Mglebi Zugdidi
25 Apr
FC Zestaponi
3 : 1 Mglebi Zugdidi
10 Apr
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 1 Mglebi Zugdidi
21 Mar
Gagra
2 : 2 Mglebi Zugdidi
01 Mar
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1 Mglebi Zugdidi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WIT Georgia | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 57:19 | 69 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:21 | 63 |
| 3 | Metalurgi Rustavi | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 40:20 | 57 |
| 4 | FC Zestaponi | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 43:27 | 52 |
| 5 | Bolnisi | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 35:29 | 44 |
| 6 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Mglebi Zugdidi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36:41 | 36 |
| 8 | Meskheti | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23:42 | 29 |
| 9 | Gagra | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 23:48 | 28 |
| 10 | Tskhinvali | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 28:46 | 25 |
| 11 | Borjomi | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 21:85 | 13 |
Promotion - Champions League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2009/2010 (Qualification)
