Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Bologna

2 - 1

Parma

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Benedyczak A.

Assist: Lovik M.

38'

Rowe J.

46'

Sub

Ondrejka J. In: Oristanio G.

Out: Ondrejka J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Bologna advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Bologna

20%

Draws

40%

Parma

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Bologna carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Bologna a 40% chance of winning this.
Bologna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Parma, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Bologna Clean Sheet 20%

Parma Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bologna	Parma
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	8
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0.76
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A

Bologna vs Parma

0:1

Dec 4, 2025 Coppa Italia

Bologna vs Parma

2:1

Nov 2, 2025 Serie A

Parma vs Bologna

1:3

Feb 22, 2025 Serie A

Parma vs Bologna

2:0

Oct 6, 2024 Serie A

Bologna vs Parma

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castro S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedyczak A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 40 / 100

Parma 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bologna Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Parma conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Parma registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Parma

1.13 Goals Scored 0.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)

13 Sept

Napoli

1 : 0

Bologna

06 Sept

Bologna

2 : 2

Sassuolo

31 Aug

Atalanta

1 : 0

Bologna

24 Aug

Bologna

0 : 1

Lazio

15 Aug

Brighton

1 : 0

Bologna

Page 1 of 6

Parma

(Away)

14 Sept

Como

2 : 1

Parma

06 Sept

Parma

1 : 1

Monza

01 Sept

Parma

0 : 2

Cremonese

29 Aug

Juventus

2 : 0

Parma

22 Aug

Parma

0 : 1

Cagliari

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Pescara 1

Rimini 0

Spezia -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan -

TBD -

Bari -

Lecce -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli -

TBD -

Reggiana -

Genoa -

TBD -

Padova 0

Vicenza 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Palermo -

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Avellino 0

Verona -

TBD -

Venezia -

TBD -

Mantova -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino -

TBD -

Modena -

Pisa -

TBD -

Cesena -

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza -

TBD -

Frosinone -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Entella 4

Ternana 0

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Catanzaro -

1/32-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 2

Pescara 0

Spezia 2

Sampdoria 1

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 2

Bari 0

Lecce 2

Juve Stabia 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 2

Reggiana 1

Genoa 3

Vicenza 0

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Carrarese 0

Cremonese 0

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Verona 2

Venezia 4

Mantova 0

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Modena 0

Pisa 1

Cesena 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza 0

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 2

Entella 1

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sudtirol 1

Sassuolo 1

Catanzaro 0

1/16-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 3

Spezia 2

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 3

Lecce 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 1

Genoa 3

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Verona 0

Venezia 1

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Pisa 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 4

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sassuolo 0

1/8-finals

Bologna 2

Parma 1

Lazio 1

AC Milan 0

Atalanta 4

Genoa 0

Juventus 2

Udinese 0

Inter 5

Venezia 1

AS Roma 2

Torino 3

Napoli 2

Cagliari 1

Fiorentina 1

Como 3

Quarter-finals

Bologna 1

Lazio 2

Atalanta 3

Juventus 0

Inter 2

Torino 1

Napoli 1

Como 2

Semi-finals

Lazio 4

Atalanta 3

Inter 3

Como 2

Final

Lazio 0

Inter 2

Bologna vs Parma

Italy

Bologna

Parma

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Bologna Compare

Parma Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

Parma

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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