Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bologna W vs Fiorentina W

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Women 2025/2026
Bologna W Logo

Bologna W

Sun, Dec 21, 2025
1 - 2
01:30 PM
Fiorentina W Logo

Fiorentina W

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tryggvadottir K.
83' Event
Fracaros C.
1' Event
Cavallin C.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Fiorentina W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bologna W
20%
Draws
33%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bologna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina W haven't matched Bologna W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Bologna W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bologna W Clean Sheet 15%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Bologna W vs Fiorentina W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fracaros C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tryggvadottir K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna W 30 / 100
Fiorentina W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bologna W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Fiorentina W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bologna W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna W VS Fiorentina W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna W

(Home)
13 Sept
Catania W
0 : 0
Bologna W
05 Sept
Bologna W
4 : 0
Genoa W
13 Aug
Bologna W
3 : 0
Arezzo W
17 May
Brescia W
1 : 2
Bologna W
10 May
Bologna W
1 : 3
Cesena W
Page 1 of 6

Fiorentina W

(Away)
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
05 Aug
Cesena W
0 : 6
Fiorentina W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Cesena W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brescia W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventus W -
Napoli W -
TBD -
Venezia W 1
Frosinone W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo W -
Genoa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Hellas Verona W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan W -
Bologna W -
TBD -
TBD -
Freedom W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina W -
Lumezzane W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arezzo W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Roma W -
Parma W -
TBD -
TBD -
San Marino Academy W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio W -
Trastevere Calcio W 3
Vicenza W 2
TBD -
Ternana W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como W -
Como 1907 W -
TBD -
TBD -
RES Roma W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter W -
1/16-finals
Cesena W 2
Brescia W 1
TBD -
Juventus W -
Napoli W 5
Venezia W 1
TBD -
Sassuolo W -
Genoa W 4
Hellas Verona W 0
TBD -
AC Milan W -
Bologna W 4
Freedom W 3
TBD -
Fiorentina W -
Lumezzane W 1
Arezzo W 0
TBD -
AS Roma W -
Parma W 4
San Marino Academy W 0
TBD -
Lazio W -
Trastevere Calcio W 0
Ternana W 3
TBD -
Como W -
Como 1907 W 3
RES Roma W 2
TBD -
Inter W -
1/8-finals
Cesena W 1
Juventus W 7
Napoli W 3
Sassuolo W 1
Genoa W 2
AC Milan W 3
Bologna W 1
Fiorentina W 2
Lumezzane W 1
AS Roma W 4
Parma W 0
Lazio W 1
Ternana W 2
Como W 1
Como 1907 W 1
Inter W 2
Quarter-finals
Juventus W 4
Napoli W 2
AC Milan W 1
Fiorentina W 2
AS Roma W 3
Lazio W 0
Ternana W 0
Inter W 6
Semi-finals
Juventus W 4
Fiorentina W 1
AS Roma W 3
Inter W 2
Final
Juventus W 0
AS Roma W 1