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Bolton U18 vs Stevenage U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Evans L.
36' Event
Brown L.
55' Event
Ritchie T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bolton U18
15%
Draws
35%
Stevenage U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bolton U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bolton U18 have won more games recently than Stevenage U18.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Bolton U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stevenage U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bolton U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Stevenage U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton U18 Stevenage U18
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 5 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.03 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 FA Youth Cup
Bolton U18 vs Stevenage U18
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritchie T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Stevenage U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader England R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton U18 30 / 100
Stevenage U18 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton U18 Stevenage U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stevenage U18 conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bolton U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bolton U18 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolton U18 VS Stevenage U18
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
3 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton U18

(Home)
14 Jan
Bolton U18
1 : 3
Stevenage U18
30 Jan
Bolton U18
0 : 3
Leicester U18
18 Jan
Crystal Palace U18
2 : 4
Bolton U18
09 May
Southampton U18
1 : 2
Bolton U18
02 May
Bolton U18
1 : 1
Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 6

Stevenage U18

(Away)
05 Feb
Stevenage U18
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U18
14 Jan
Bolton U18
1 : 3
Stevenage U18
11 Jan
Stevenage U18
1 : 2
Middlesbrough U18

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Reading U18 2
Chelsea U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Arsenal U18 2
Everton U18 3
West Ham U18 2
Bromley U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
Leeds U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Coventry U18 1
Blackburn U18 8
Norwich U18 1
Burnley U18 5
Watford U18 1
Charlton U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 2
Colchester U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Derby U18 1
Sunderland U18 4
West Brom U18 3
QPR U18 0
Brighton U18 2
Fleetwood Town U18 2
Aston Villa U18 3
Southend U18 1
Wrexham U18 3
Bolton U18 1
Stevenage U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 4
1/8-finals
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
Everton U18 4
Ipswich U18 2
Swansea U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 2
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 1
Manchester United U18 4
Sunderland U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Aston Villa U18 1
Wrexham U18 0
Stevenage U18 1
Crystal Palace U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 3
Everton U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 1
Manchester United U18 3
Sunderland U18 2
Aston Villa U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Blackburn U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Manchester United U18 1