Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolton U21 vs Arsenal U21

England England

Premier League U21 2014/2015 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ormonde-Ottewill B.
15' Event
Lussey J.
74' Event
Iwobi A.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal U21 in this Premier League U21 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bolton U21
30%
Draws
19%
Arsenal U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bolton U21 at 1.66 per game, Arsenal U21 at 1.45.
  • Win probability leans Bolton U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League U21 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton U21 Arsenal U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2015 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:3
Dec 15, 2014 Premier League U21
Arsenal U21 vs Bolton U21
1:3
Mar 31, 2014 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Arsenal U21
2:1
Nov 5, 2012 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:2
Aug 20, 2012 Premier League U21
Arsenal U21 vs Bolton U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lussey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Arsenal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormonde-Ottewill B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iwobi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton U21 85 / 100
Arsenal U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton U21 Arsenal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolton U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Bolton U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Arsenal U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolton U21 VS Arsenal U21
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton U21

(Home)
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
31 Aug
Bolton U21
3 : 1
Coventry U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0
Colchester U21
18 Aug
Charlton U21
0 : 1
Bolton U21
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U21

(Away)
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2
Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4
Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2
Arsenal U21
22 Aug
Arsenal U21
1 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
18 Aug
Barnet
5 : 1
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United U21 22 11 7 4 39:23 40
2 Liverpool U21 22 11 3 8 45:35 36
3 Chelsea U21 22 10 5 7 39:27 35
4 Sunderland U21 22 10 5 7 26:24 35
5 Manchester City U21 22 10 3 9 44:40 33
6 Leicester U21 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
7 Norwich U21 22 8 8 6 34:32 32
8 Southampton U21 22 9 4 9 32:34 31
9 Tottenham U21 22 8 5 9 30:30 29
10 Everton U21 22 8 3 11 32:37 27
11 Fulham U21 22 6 4 12 27:45 22
12 West Ham U21 22 5 2 15 20:43 17
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 22 16 2 4 39:23 50
2 Reading U21 22 13 2 7 38:30 41
3 Derby U21 22 12 4 6 39:20 40
4 Arsenal U21 22 11 4 7 38:25 37
5 West Brom U21 22 10 7 5 37:27 37
6 Newcastle Utd U21 22 9 5 8 43:39 32
7 Aston Villa U21 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
8 Brighton U21 22 6 5 11 19:23 23
9 Bolton U21 22 5 8 9 26:33 23
10 Blackburn U21 22 5 6 11 23:31 21
11 Stoke City U21 22 4 6 12 23:50 18
12 Wolves U21 22 3 8 11 24:37 17
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)