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Boluspor vs Alanyaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu, Bolu
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Elia M.
46'
Sub
Yilmaz C. In: Balburdia M.
Out: Yilmaz C.
47' Event
Hagi I.
Assist: Elia M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Alanyaspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Boluspor
39%
Draws
31%
Alanyaspor
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Boluspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Boluspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alanyaspor, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alanyaspor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Boluspor Clean Sheet 13%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boluspor Alanyaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Boluspor vs Alanyaspor
0:4
Mar 20, 2016 1. Lig
Alanyaspor vs Boluspor
1:0
Oct 25, 2015 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Alanyaspor
0:2
Apr 5, 2015 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Alanyaspor
0:3
Nov 7, 2014 1. Lig
Alanyaspor vs Boluspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boluspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagi I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mounie S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boluspor 30 / 100
Alanyaspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boluspor Alanyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boluspor found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Alanyaspor has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Boluspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boluspor VS Alanyaspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boluspor

(Home)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
26 Apr
Pendikspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Boluspor
09 Apr
Boluspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
Page 1 of 6

Alanyaspor

(Away)
16 Jul
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Tikves
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1
Kayserispor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0
Alanyaspor
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams