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Bom Jesus vs Aparecida EC

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Goiano 3 2025
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

2 - 1
FT
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2025 game between Bom Jesus and Aparecida EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bom Jesus
20%
Draws
29%
Aparecida EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bom Jesus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Goiano 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 68%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bom Jesus Aparecida EC
Matches Played 23 33
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.04 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Goiano 3
Bom Jesus vs Aparecida EC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bom Jesus 41 / 100
Aparecida EC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bom Jesus Aparecida EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bom Jesus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bom Jesus scored in 83% of their last 23 games.

Aparecida EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bom Jesus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bom Jesus VS Aparecida EC
2.75 Goals Scored 1.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Bom Jesus

(Home)
13 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Tupy FC
09 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Bom Jesus
06 Sept
Bom Jesus
2 : 1
Sao Luis
30 Aug
Bom Jesus
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Aug
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Bom Jesus
Page 1 of 5

Aparecida EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bom Jesus 11 9 2 0 33:5 29
2 Mineiros 11 9 0 2 23:6 27
3 Sao Luis 11 7 4 0 17:3 25
4 ABD FC 11 7 2 2 31:4 23
5 America GO 11 6 3 2 17:9 21
6 Guanabara City 11 6 1 4 22:13 19
7 Santa Helena 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
8 Aparecida EC 11 2 3 6 11:12 9
9 Pires do Rio 11 2 3 6 15:22 9
10 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 11 2 1 8 10:34 7
11 Rioverdense 11 1 0 10 7:40 3
12 Itumbiara 11 1 0 10 9:46 3
Promotion - Goiano 2 (Main)