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Bom Jesus vs Morrinhos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

3 - 2
FT
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
64' Event
68' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bom Jesus in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bom Jesus
35%
Draws
20%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bom Jesus have won more games recently than Morrinhos.
  • Model gives Bom Jesus a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 68%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bom Jesus Morrinhos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.04 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Morrinhos
3:2
Jul 29, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Bom Jesus
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bom Jesus 77 / 100
Morrinhos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bom Jesus Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bom Jesus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bom Jesus scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bom Jesus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Morrinhos conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bom Jesus VS Morrinhos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bom Jesus

(Home)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
Page 1 of 6

Morrinhos

(Away)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
02 Oct
Mineiros
1 : 0
Morrinhos
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Goiania
2 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)