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Bom Jesus vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Bom Jesus and Rio Verde finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bom Jesus
35%
Draws
45%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bom Jesus come out ahead of Rio Verde on wins alone.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 21%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bom Jesus Rio Verde
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 12
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 2 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus
2:2
Aug 9, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Rio Verde
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bom Jesus 32 / 100
Rio Verde 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bom Jesus Rio Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bom Jesus's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bom Jesus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rio Verde has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bom Jesus VS Rio Verde
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bom Jesus

(Home)
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
13 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Tupy FC
09 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Bom Jesus
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Rio Verde

(Away)
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
2 Bom Jesus 15 6 7 2 19:13 25
3 Goianesia 15 6 6 3 18:17 24
4 Morrinhos 15 6 4 5 22:20 22
5 Mineiros 15 6 4 5 16:14 22
6 Goiania 15 4 7 4 12:13 19
7 Tupy FC 15 4 6 5 13:13 18
8 Sao Luis 15 3 6 6 17:22 15
9 Trindade 15 2 6 7 13:21 12
10 Gremio Anapolis 15 2 5 8 15:25 11
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)