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Bombada vs Brikama United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Colley L.

AI Match Summary

Bombada in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bombada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bombada
20%
Draws
36%
Brikama United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bombada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Brikama United average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Bombada's 1.2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bombada Clean Sheet 22%
Brikama United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombada Brikama United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 GFA League
Brikama United vs Bombada
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Brikama United
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 GFA League
Brikama United vs Bombada
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 GFA League
Bombada vs Brikama United
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 GFA League
Bombada vs Brikama United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bombada Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brikama United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 32 / 100
Brikama United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombada Brikama United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brikama United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Brikama United conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bombada stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bombada VS Brikama United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombada

(Home)
22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1
Bombada
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Bombada
2 : 0
Gambia Ports
Page 1 of 6

Brikama United

(Away)
22 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 3
Brikama United
17 Jun
Hart Academy
3 : 1
Brikama United
11 Jun
Brikama United
3 : 0
Greater Tomorrow
05 Jun
Steve Biko
1 : 1
Brikama United
25 May
Brikama United
1 : 2
Fortune
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)