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Bombada vs Hart Academy

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Barry E.
(Penalty)
59' Event
87' Event

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Bombada and Hart Academy finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bombada
40%
Draws
29%
Hart Academy
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bombada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bombada Clean Sheet 68%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombada Hart Academy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Hart Academy
2:2
Jan 20, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Bombada
0:1
May 5, 2025 GFA League
Bombada vs Hart Academy
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Bombada
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 42 / 100
Hart Academy 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombada Hart Academy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hart Academy has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bombada stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bombada VS Hart Academy
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
13Hawks307121125:3133
14TMT307121120:2933
15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830