Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonaire U17 vs Saint Martin U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 Estadio Francisco Morazán, San Pedro Sula
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vilar T.
Assist: Gonzague Y.
32' Event
Charlery-Adele J.
41' Event
Charlery-Adele J.
Assist: Fleming A.

AI Match Summary

Saint Martin U17 in this World Cup U17 2025 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bonaire U17
15%
Draws
42%
Saint Martin U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonaire U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonaire U17 lately — more wins on the board than Saint Martin U17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bonaire U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saint Martin U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bonaire U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Saint Martin U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire U17 Saint Martin U17
Matches Played 12 16
Wins 6 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.42 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 World Cup U17
Bonaire U17 vs Saint Martin U17
1:4
Sep 5, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U17
Bonaire U17 vs Saint Martin U17
2:1
Mar 17, 2019 CONCACAF Championship U17
Saint Martin U17 vs Bonaire U17
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Isenia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Saint Martin U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Charlery-Adele J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vilar T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire U17 31 / 100
Saint Martin U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire U17 Saint Martin U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Martin U17 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Away concern: Saint Martin U17 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bonaire U17 scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire U17 VS Saint Martin U17
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire U17

(Home)
15 Feb
Bonaire U17
1 : 4
Saint Martin U17
13 Feb
Bonaire U17
0 : 8
Honduras U17
10 Feb
Puerto Rico U17
3 : 0
Bonaire U17
07 Sept
Bahamas U17
0 : 3
Bonaire U17
05 Sept
Bonaire U17
2 : 1
Saint Martin U17
Page 1 of 3

Saint Martin U17

(Away)
12 Feb
Saint Martin U17
0 : 6
Barbados U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Trinidad & Tobago U17
1 : 0
Saint Martin U17
03 Feb
Saint Martin U17
3 : 0
Sint Maarten U17
15 Feb
Bonaire U17
1 : 4
Saint Martin U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 4 4 0 0 28:2 12
2 Curacao U17 4 3 0 1 13:10 9
3 Bermuda U17 4 2 0 2 10:14 6
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U17 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
5 Anguilla U17 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U17 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Guyana U17 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 British Virgin Islands U17 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sint Maarten U17 4 0 0 4 0:28 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U17 4 3 1 0 19:2 10
2 Nicaragua U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
3 Barbados U17 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Belize U17 4 1 0 3 10:8 3
5 Dominica U17 4 0 0 4 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Puerto Rico U17 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Saint Martin U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bonaire U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U17 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guatemala U17 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Antigua and Barbuda U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 3 3 0 0 31:0 9
2 Cuba U17 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 3 1 0 2 10:12 3
4 United States Virgin Islands U17 3 0 0 3 5:37 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama U17 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Dominican Republic U17 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Aruba U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Grenada U17 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U17 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Jamaica U17 3 2 0 1 14:4 6
3 Saint Lucia U17 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Cayman Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:23 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)