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Boness United vs Berwick

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between Boness United and Berwick finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berwick.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boness United
15%
Draws
34%
Berwick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boness United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berwick come out ahead of Boness United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Boness United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boness United Berwick
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Boness United
4:2
Dec 6, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Berwick
1:3
Nov 5, 2024 Lowland League
Boness United vs Berwick
1:1
Oct 1, 2024 Lowland League
Berwick vs Boness United
0:1
Dec 23, 2023 Lowland League
Boness United vs Berwick
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boness United 40 / 100
Berwick 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boness United Berwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boness United scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Berwick's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Berwick registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boness United VS Berwick
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boness United

(Home)
08 Aug
Boness United
2 : 0
Civil Service Strollers
01 Aug
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 3
Boness United
28 Jul
Boness United
0 : 4
Bonnyrigg Rose
25 Jul
Boness United
1 : 2
Tranent FC
18 Apr
Berwick
4 : 2
Boness United
Page 1 of 6

Berwick

(Away)
15 Aug
Berwick
3 : 2
Stirling University
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
08 Aug
Brechin
4 : 3
Berwick
01 Aug
Berwick
0 : 2
Hill Of Beath
25 Jul
Lochee United
1 : 1
Berwick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linlithgow Rose 34 24 3 7 89:39 75
2 Clydebank FC 34 23 4 7 94:39 73
3 Bonnyrigg Rose 34 21 6 7 79:42 69
4 Tranent FC 34 20 7 7 63:32 67
5 Caledonian Braves 34 18 5 11 75:48 59
6 Cumbernauld Colts 34 17 5 12 72:53 56
7 Broxburn Athletic 34 15 7 12 68:61 52
8 Berwick 34 14 7 13 62:68 49
9 Boness United 34 14 6 14 61:56 48
10 Celtic B 34 12 10 12 73:71 46
11 Cowdenbeath 34 12 9 13 51:53 45
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 13 2 19 52:66 41
13 Albion Rovers 34 12 3 19 48:71 39
14 Civil Service Strollers 34 11 5 18 40:79 38
15 Stirling University 34 9 7 18 55:82 34
16 Hearts B 34 7 8 19 42:78 29
17 Gretna 2008 34 7 7 20 50:90 28
18 East Stirlingshire 34 5 3 26 48:94 18
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)