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Boness United vs Gala Fairydean Rovers

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boness United play Gala Fairydean Rovers in the Lowland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boness United averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Gala Fairydean Rovers averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Boness United won 2, Gala Fairydean Rovers won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.84 for Boness United and 1.75 for Gala Fairydean Rovers. This points to a Boness United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Boness United
15%
Draws
39%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boness United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Boness United picked up more points recently compared to Gala Fairydean Rovers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.84 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Boness United Clean Sheet 12%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boness United Gala Fairydean Rovers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Boness United
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
4:0
Feb 22, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Boness United
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Boness United
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boness United 44 / 100
Gala Fairydean Rovers 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boness United Gala Fairydean Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boness United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boness United attacking → ← attacking Gala Fairydean Rovers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boness United scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gala Fairydean Rovers let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Boness United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gala Fairydean Rovers lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 32
1.43 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linlithgow Rose34243789:3975
2Clydebank FC34234794:3973
3Bonnyrigg Rose34216779:4269
4Tranent FC34207763:3267
5Caledonian Braves341851175:4859
6Cumbernauld Colts341751272:5356
7Broxburn Athletic341571268:6152
8Berwick341471362:6849
9Boness United341461461:5648
10Celtic B3412101273:7146
11Cowdenbeath341291351:5345
12Gala Fairydean Rovers341321952:6641
13Albion Rovers341231948:7139
14Civil Service Strollers341151840:7938
15Stirling University34971855:8234
16Hearts B34781942:7829
17Gretna 200834772050:9028
18East Stirlingshire34532648:9418