Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs Bergisch Gladbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Bonner Logo

Bonner

3 - 2
FT
Bergisch Gladbach Logo

Bergisch Gladbach

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Berg J.
59' Event
de Meester L.
70' Event
Santo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bonner in this Regionalliga West matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bonner
20%
Draws
36%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergisch Gladbach lately — more wins on the board than Bonner.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Bonner taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Bonner Clean Sheet 13%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.48 2.76
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Bergisch Gladbach
3:2
Jun 13, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner
5:0
Dec 6, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Bergisch Gladbach
4:2
Apr 12, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:0
Oct 13, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonner
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Meester L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bergisch Gladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinchuk D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouekem J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 39 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner Bergisch Gladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bonner stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bergisch Gladbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS Bergisch Gladbach
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
02 Oct
Bonner
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
Page 1 of 6

Bergisch Gladbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Hilden
4 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2
Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 11 9 1 1 28:9 28
2 Dortmund II 11 7 4 0 23:11 25
3 Gutersloh 11 7 2 2 26:13 23
4 B. Monchengladbach II 11 6 2 3 25:13 20
5 Westfalia Rhynern 11 5 2 4 20:22 17
6 Siegen 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
7 Bergisch Gladbach 11 5 1 5 19:22 16
8 Bonner 11 3 6 2 21:20 15
9 Schalke II 10 5 0 5 20:20 15
10 Koln II 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
11 Bocholt 11 3 4 4 24:26 13
12 Paderborn II 11 3 4 4 19:22 13
13 SG Wattenscheid 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
14 Hilden 11 3 3 5 16:23 12
15 Bochum II 11 3 2 6 14:20 11
16 Rodinghausen 11 2 3 6 15:20 9
17 Wiedenbruck 11 2 2 7 14:26 8
18 Lotte 11 0 3 8 7:22 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)