Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs FC Hurth

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2024/2025 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Koruk S.
40' Event
Omerbasic A.
65' Event
Bird R.

AI Match Summary

Bonner in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bonner
35%
Draws
26%
FC Hurth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bonner have won more games recently than FC Hurth.
  • Win probability leans Bonner's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bonner have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bonner Clean Sheet 15%
FC Hurth Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner FC Hurth
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs FC Hurth
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Bonner
1:4
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Bonner
0:4
Oct 24, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs FC Hurth
0:0
Mar 3, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs FC Hurth
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Koruk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omerbasic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

FC Hurth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 39 / 100
FC Hurth 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner FC Hurth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bonner remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FC Hurth has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS FC Hurth
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
01 Sept
Bocholt
2 : 2
Bonner
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FC Hurth

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 2
Chlodwig Zulpich
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonner 30 23 4 3 83:32 73
2 Merten 30 19 3 8 76:44 60
3 Siegburger 30 18 1 11 71:59 55
4 Frechen 30 15 6 9 56:53 51
5 Konigsdorf 30 14 6 10 69:33 48
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 3 12 60:51 48
7 Bergisch Gladbach 30 12 8 10 60:57 44
8 VfL Vichttal 30 13 2 15 64:60 41
9 SpVg Porz 1919 30 11 4 15 53:67 37
10 Hennef 30 10 6 14 40:58 36
11 Teutonia Weiden 30 10 6 14 66:94 36
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 10 5 15 51:50 35
13 Pesch 30 9 8 13 52:52 35
14 FC Hurth 30 7 12 11 41:49 33
15 Bonn-Endenich 08 30 6 5 19 37:77 23
16 Schafhausen 30 5 7 18 30:73 22
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)