Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs Friesdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Berg J.
67' Event
Yildiz E.

AI Match Summary

Bonner in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Bonner
20%
Draws
17%
Friesdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonner lately — more wins on the board than Friesdorf.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Bonner taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bonner have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Bonner Clean Sheet 68%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner Friesdorf
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.71 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Friesdorf
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Bonner
1:8
Mar 6, 2016 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Friesdorf
1:2
Aug 22, 2015 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Bonner
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yildiz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Friesdorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 95 / 100
Friesdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner Friesdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Friesdorf has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Bonner went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
02 Oct
Bonner
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
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Friesdorf

(Away)
22 Jul
Engers
2 : 0
Friesdorf
11 Jun
Friesdorf
2 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
04 Jun
VfL Vichttal
11 : 3
Friesdorf
29 May
Friesdorf
3 : 2
Frechen
21 May
FC Viktoria 08
2 : 0
Friesdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hennef 30 22 2 6 73:37 68
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 20 5 5 65:28 65
3 VfL Vichttal 30 19 4 7 88:51 61
4 Bonner 30 16 7 7 70:28 55
5 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 15 8 7 67:48 53
6 Bergisch Gladbach 30 15 8 7 53:35 53
7 Frechen 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Borussia Freialdenhoven 30 10 8 12 38:52 38
9 Konigsdorf 30 10 4 16 49:51 34
10 FC Hurth 30 8 10 12 44:54 34
11 Glesch/Paffendorf 30 10 3 17 53:71 33
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 7 11 12 42:53 32
13 Siegburger 30 9 5 16 39:52 32
14 Friesdorf 30 8 4 18 39:88 28
15 Pesch 30 6 8 16 34:63 26
16 FC Viktoria 08 30 4 6 20 27:74 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)