Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs Glesch/Paffendorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rexhepaj A.
47' Event
Strobl H.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 game between Bonner and Glesch/Paffendorf finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bonner
30%
Draws
0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Bonner carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bonner's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bonner have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Bonner Clean Sheet 68%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner Glesch/Paffendorf
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 8 0
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.43 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bonner
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Glesch/Paffendorf
2:0
May 7, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bonner
1:5
Oct 14, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Glesch/Paffendorf
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Rexhepaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strobl H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Glesch/Paffendorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 50 / 100
Glesch/Paffendorf 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner Glesch/Paffendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Glesch/Paffendorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

Bonner went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Glesch/Paffendorf's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
01 Sept
Bocholt
2 : 2
Bonner
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Glesch/Paffendorf

(Away)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)