Sport Picks
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Dunfermline - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg 
Match Events
7'
7'
Smith J.
20'
20'
Tod J.
Assist: Corbally K.
25'
25'
Kane Ch.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dunfermline
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Bonnyrigg Rose on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Dunfermline's way, sitting at 90%.
- Dunfermline arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 15%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bonnyrigg Rose | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Dunfermline
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bonnyrigg Rose Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scott M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dunfermline Compare
Top Goalscorer Tod J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Thomas O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bonnyrigg Rose 10 / 100
Dunfermline 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bonnyrigg Rose Dunfermline
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonnyrigg Rose scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Bonnyrigg Rose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Dunfermline conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bonnyrigg Rose VS Dunfermline
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bonnyrigg Rose
(Home) 03 Nov
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 4 Dunfermline
31 Oct
Lochee United
2 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
27 Oct
Bonnyrigg Rose
0 : 1 Boness United
17 Oct
Cowdenbeath
2 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 4 Dunfermline
27 Oct
Bonnyrigg Rose
0 : 1 Boness United
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
Page 1 of 3
Dunfermline
(Away) 03 Nov
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 4 Dunfermline
31 Oct
Dunfermline
5 : 1 Inverness
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1 Dunfermline
24 Oct
Queen's Park
0 : 1 Dunfermline
20 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 1 Partick
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 4 Dunfermline
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1 Dunfermline
24 Oct
Queen's Park
0 : 1 Dunfermline
10 Oct
Ayr
1 : 1 Dunfermline
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1 Dunfermline
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
