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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hearts B

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026 New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between Bonnyrigg Rose and Hearts B finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bonnyrigg Rose
15%
Draws
51%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg Rose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Lowland League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 11%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose Hearts B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hearts B
4:0
Oct 3, 2025 Lowland League
Hearts B vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 35 / 100
Hearts B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg Rose scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Hearts B has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Bonnyrigg Rose remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Hearts B
2.25 Goals Scored 3
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
12 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6
Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
18 Apr
Cowdenbeath
3 : 0
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linlithgow Rose 34 24 3 7 89:39 75
2 Clydebank FC 34 23 4 7 94:39 73
3 Bonnyrigg Rose 34 21 6 7 79:42 69
4 Tranent FC 34 20 7 7 63:32 67
5 Caledonian Braves 34 18 5 11 75:48 59
6 Cumbernauld Colts 34 17 5 12 72:53 56
7 Broxburn Athletic 34 15 7 12 68:61 52
8 Berwick 34 14 7 13 62:68 49
9 Boness United 34 14 6 14 61:56 48
10 Celtic B 34 12 10 12 73:71 46
11 Cowdenbeath 34 12 9 13 51:53 45
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 13 2 19 52:66 41
13 Albion Rovers 34 12 3 19 48:71 39
14 Civil Service Strollers 34 11 5 18 40:79 38
15 Stirling University 34 9 7 18 55:82 34
16 Hearts B 34 7 8 19 42:78 29
17 Gretna 2008 34 7 7 20 50:90 28
18 East Stirlingshire 34 5 3 26 48:94 18
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)