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Bonsucesso vs Mageense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Bonsucesso Logo

Bonsucesso

Sun, Oct 13, 2024
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Mageense Logo

Mageense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bonsucesso host Mageense in the Carioca B2 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mageense have shipped 2.2 goals a game lately, while Bonsucesso have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Bonsucesso have won 1 to Mageense's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.69) back Bonsucesso to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Bonsucesso
30%
Draws
8%
Mageense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonsucesso come out ahead of Mageense on wins alone.
  • Bonsucesso are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 20%
Mageense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Mageense
Matches Played 45 20
Wins 18 5
Draws 12 1
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Carioca B2
Bonsucesso vs Mageense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 76 / 100
Mageense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Mageense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mageense conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

Bonsucesso scored in 64% of their last 45 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bonsucesso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS Mageense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 9

Mageense

(Away)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)