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Bonsucesso vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tony Love
41' Event
Gallo B.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Bare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Bonsucesso and Niteroiense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonsucesso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bonsucesso
33%
Draws
40%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonsucesso come out ahead of Niteroiense on wins alone.
  • Niteroiense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bonsucesso here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 10%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Niteroiense
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 13 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.63 5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Carioca B1
Niteroiense vs Bonsucesso
2:3
Nov 25, 2024 Carioca B2
Bonsucesso vs Niteroiense
3:4
Nov 20, 2024 Carioca B2
Niteroiense vs Bonsucesso
0:2
Nov 14, 2024 Carioca B2
Bonsucesso vs Niteroiense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Tony Love
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bare
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Niteroiense Compare

Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 26 / 100
Niteroiense 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Bonsucesso found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (45 games).

Niteroiense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Bonsucesso remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS Niteroiense
0.63 Goals Scored 5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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Niteroiense

(Away)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)