Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonsucesso vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Bonsucesso Logo

Bonsucesso

0 - 1
FT
Resende Logo

Resende

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Matheus Goiano
52'
90'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Bonsucesso and Resende finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Resende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bonsucesso
30%
Draws
23%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonsucesso have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Resende are scoring more at 1.27.
  • Bonsucesso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Carioca 2
Bonsucesso vs Resende
0:1
Feb 17, 2018 Carioca
Resende vs Bonsucesso
1:2
Jan 27, 2018 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Resende
1:1
Jan 6, 2018 Carioca
Resende vs Bonsucesso
2:4
Mar 19, 2016 Carioca
Resende vs Bonsucesso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonsucesso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goiano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 50 / 100
Resende 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonsucesso scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Resende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bonsucesso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS Resende
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)