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Bonsucesso vs Rio Sao Paulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Oliveira Xavier Armelau Y.
30' Event
Ronaldy
55' Event
Vini

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Bonsucesso and Rio Sao Paulo finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonsucesso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bonsucesso
20%
Draws
0%
Rio Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bonsucesso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bonsucesso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Rio Sao Paulo
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.22 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2024 Carioca B2
Bonsucesso vs Rio Sao Paulo
6:0
Nov 14, 2020 Carioca 2
Bonsucesso vs Rio Sao Paulo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira Xavier Armelau Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ronaldy
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 95 / 100
Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Rio Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Sao Paulo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Rio Sao Paulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bonsucesso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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Rio Sao Paulo

(Away)
14 Nov
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
11 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
0 : 3
Campo Grande
07 Nov
Bonsucesso
6 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
03 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
1 : 3
Uni Souza
28 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)