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Bonsucesso vs Serrano FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bonsucesso
35%
Draws
32%
Serrano FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bonsucesso have won more games recently than Serrano FC.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bonsucesso taking it.
  • Bonsucesso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Serrano FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Carioca B1
Bonsucesso vs Serrano FC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
1:0
Nov 25, 2020 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 46 / 100
Serrano FC 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Serrano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonsucesso scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Serrano FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bonsucesso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS Serrano FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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Serrano FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bonsucesso 2
Duque de Caxias 1
Sao Cristovao 0
Serrano FC 2
Final
Bonsucesso 1
Serrano FC 2