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Bordeaux vs Bayonne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Atlantique, Bordeaux
Bordeaux Logo

Bordeaux

1 - 0
FT
Bayonne Logo

Bayonne

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Villette M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bordeaux in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bordeaux
20%
Draws
35%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayonne haven't matched Bordeaux's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bordeaux's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bordeaux have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Bayonne
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Bordeaux
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Bayonne
1:0
Jan 23, 2004 Coupe de France
Bayonne vs Bordeaux
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Villette M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bayonne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 50 / 100
Bayonne 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordeaux found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Bordeaux remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Bayonne conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Bayonne
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux

(Home)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
Page 1 of 6

Bayonne

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)