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Stadium Background

Bordeaux vs Les Herbiers

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Atlantique, Bordeaux
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Openda R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Bordeaux and Les Herbiers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Bordeaux
20%
Draws
19%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bordeaux carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Bordeaux taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Les Herbiers
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Les Herbiers
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Bordeaux
2:1
May 3, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Bordeaux
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Les Herbiers
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Coupe de France
Bordeaux vs Les Herbiers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

Les Herbiers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 95 / 100
Les Herbiers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordeaux's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Bordeaux stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Les Herbiers
2.43 Goals Scored 2.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux

(Home)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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Les Herbiers

(Away)
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)