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Bordeaux vs Montlouis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Atlantique, Bordeaux
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Etonde L.
33' Event
Openda R.
40' Event
Toure L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Bordeaux in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bordeaux
30%
Draws
19%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bordeaux lately — more wins on the board than Montlouis.
  • Win probability leans Bordeaux's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Montlouis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Montlouis
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Bordeaux
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villette M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 95 / 100
Montlouis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Montlouis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordeaux scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Solid form: Bordeaux remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Montlouis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Montlouis
2.43 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux

(Home)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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Montlouis

(Away)
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Biesheim
5 : 2
Montlouis
12 Sept
Montlouis
0 : 0
Creteil
05 Sept
Furiani Agliani
3 : 2
Montlouis
29 Aug
Montlouis
0 : 0
Epinal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)