Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bordeaux vs Montlouis

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade Atlantique
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bordeaux play Montlouis in the National 2 - Group A. Bordeaux are favorites here. Recently, Bordeaux averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1 conceded. Montlouis averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Bordeaux won 1, Montlouis won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Bordeaux and 1.25 for Montlouis. This points to a Bordeaux double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bordeaux
21%
Draws
22%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Bordeaux picked up more points recently compared to Montlouis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 19%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Montlouis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Montlouis
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Bordeaux
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villette M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidasse Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 55 / 100
Montlouis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Montlouis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bordeaux & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bordeaux attacking → ← attacking Montlouis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordeaux scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Montlouis let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Bordeaux went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Montlouis lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 31
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325