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Bordeaux W vs Lille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025 Stade Sainte-Germaine, Le-Bouscat
Sun, May 11, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bordeaux W host Lille W in the Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bordeaux W have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Lille W's 1.26 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Bordeaux W have won 3 to Lille W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 11, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.36, favoring Bordeaux W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bordeaux W
30%
Draws
35%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lille W come out ahead of Bordeaux W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bordeaux W Clean Sheet 18%
Lille W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux W Lille W
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Bordeaux W vs Lille W
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Bordeaux W
0:0
Apr 24, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Bordeaux W
1:2
Nov 25, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Bordeaux W vs Lille W
3:0
Apr 14, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Bordeaux W vs Lille W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux W 31 / 100
Lille W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bordeaux W scored in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Bordeaux W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lille W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux W

(Home)
31 Aug
Nantes W
1 : 0
Bordeaux W
08 May
Bordeaux W
2 : 1
OL Lyonnes W
24 Apr
Lille W
1 : 2
Bordeaux W
14 Apr
Bordeaux W
0 : 3
Fleury 91 W
30 Mar
Reims W
3 : 0
Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 2

Lille W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 20 14 3 3 46:22 45
2 Lens W 20 14 3 3 54:23 45
3 Toulouse W 20 11 4 5 36:24 37
4 Le Mans W 20 9 4 7 29:24 31
5 Saint-Malo W 20 7 6 7 30:33 27
6 Metz W 20 6 7 7 26:25 25
7 Lille W 20 7 3 10 38:35 24
8 Thonon Evian W 20 5 7 8 20:34 22
9 Nice W 20 5 3 12 21:51 18
10 Rodez AF W 20 4 5 11 26:43 17
11 Orleans W 20 5 1 14 25:37 16
12 Bordeaux W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Main)