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Stadium Background

Bordeaux W vs Thonon Evian W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025 Stade Sainte-Germaine, Le-Bouscat
Sun, Dec 8, 2024
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bordeaux W host Thonon Evian W in the Seconde Ligue Women 2024/2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Bordeaux W have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Thonon Evian W's 1.63 scored and 1.57 conceded. Past meetings favor Bordeaux W slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.11, favoring Thonon Evian W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bordeaux W
15%
Draws
34%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bordeaux W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bordeaux W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bordeaux W Clean Sheet 20%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Bordeaux W
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Bordeaux W vs Thonon Evian W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux W 67 / 100
Thonon Evian W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Thonon Evian W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bordeaux W found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (8 games).

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thonon Evian W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux W

(Home)
31 Aug
Nantes W
1 : 0
Bordeaux W
08 May
Bordeaux W
2 : 1
OL Lyonnes W
24 Apr
Lille W
1 : 2
Bordeaux W
14 Apr
Bordeaux W
0 : 3
Fleury 91 W
30 Mar
Reims W
3 : 0
Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 2

Thonon Evian W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 20 14 3 3 46:22 45
2 Lens W 20 14 3 3 54:23 45
3 Toulouse W 20 11 4 5 36:24 37
4 Le Mans W 20 9 4 7 29:24 31
5 Saint-Malo W 20 7 6 7 30:33 27
6 Metz W 20 6 7 7 26:25 25
7 Lille W 20 7 3 10 38:35 24
8 Thonon Evian W 20 5 7 8 20:34 22
9 Nice W 20 5 3 12 21:51 18
10 Rodez AF W 20 4 5 11 26:43 17
11 Orleans W 20 5 1 14 25:37 16
12 Bordeaux W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Main)