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Stadium Background

Borea Dresden vs Chemnitzer II

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Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 game between Borea Dresden and Chemnitzer II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Borea Dresden
25%
Draws
53%
Chemnitzer II
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Chemnitzer II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • Chemnitzer II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Borea Dresden are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Chemnitzer II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borea Dresden Chemnitzer II
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 9
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 0.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Chemnitzer II vs Borea Dresden
0:0
Nov 20, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Chemnitzer II
0:0
May 22, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Chemnitzer II
1:2
Apr 25, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Chemnitzer II vs Borea Dresden
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borea Dresden 56 / 100
Chemnitzer II 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borea Dresden Chemnitzer II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borea Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemnitzer II let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Difficult form: Chemnitzer II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Borea Dresden scored in 33% of their last 3 games.

Scoring Trends

Borea Dresden VS Chemnitzer II
0 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Borea Dresden

(Home)
06 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
27 Aug
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
21 Aug
Aue II
4 : 0
Borea Dresden

Chemnitzer II

(Away)
14 Jun
Halle
3 : 0
Chemnitzer II
07 Jun
Chemnitzer II
1 : 1
Jena II
24 May
Cottbus II
2 : 0
Chemnitzer II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
10 May
Chemnitzer II
0 : 4
RB Leipzig II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 30 22 6 2 69:22 72
2 Auerbach 30 17 6 7 63:39 57
3 Bautzen 30 15 7 8 44:30 52
4 Erfurt II 30 12 12 6 48:39 48
5 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 48:45 41
6 Luckenwalde 30 11 8 11 53:55 41
7 Aue II 30 12 5 13 43:47 41
8 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 9 12 9 42:43 39
9 Zwickau 30 10 7 13 39:39 37
10 Sachsen Leipzig 30 9 9 12 33:43 36
11 Chemnitzer II 30 8 10 12 45:50 34
12 Gotha 30 10 4 16 40:55 34
13 Jena II 30 8 9 13 42:47 33
14 Halle 30 8 9 13 34:47 33
15 Borea Dresden 30 7 11 12 33:47 32
16 Magdeburg II 30 6 8 16 37:65 26
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2010/2011 (Main)