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Boreale vs San Marzano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Musumeci M.
70' Event
Camara F.
85' Event
Coly K.

AI Match Summary

San Marzano in this Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Boreale
20%
Draws
40%
San Marzano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Marzano lately — more wins on the board than Boreale.
  • Win probability leans Boreale's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Boreale Clean Sheet 20%
San Marzano Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boreale San Marzano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group G
San Marzano vs Boreale
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Boreale vs San Marzano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boreale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

San Marzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Musumeci M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boreale 42 / 100
San Marzano 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boreale San Marzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: San Marzano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Boreale found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Boreale VS San Marzano
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boreale

(Home)
05 May
Boreale
3 : 3
Cynthialbalonga
28 Apr
San Marzano
1 : 0
Boreale
21 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 2
Boreale
13 Apr
Boreale
1 : 4
Cavese
07 Apr
Nuova Florida
1 : 0
Boreale
Page 1 of 6

San Marzano

(Away)
05 May
Cavese
2 : 1
San Marzano
28 Apr
San Marzano
1 : 0
Boreale
21 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
San Marzano
14 Apr
San Marzano
1 : 1
Budoni Calcio
07 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
San Marzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)