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Boreale vs Sarrabus Ogliastra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Casavecchia L.
69' Event
Gjoni A.
88' Event
Gjoni A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Boreale in this Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boreale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Boreale
30%
Draws
23%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boreale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarrabus Ogliastra lately — more wins on the board than Boreale.
  • Win probability leans Boreale's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Boreale Clean Sheet 68%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boreale Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.6 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Boreale vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Boreale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boreale Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boreale 68 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boreale Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boreale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarrabus Ogliastra let in goals in 66% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sarrabus Ogliastra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Boreale scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boreale

(Home)
05 May
Boreale
3 : 3
Cynthialbalonga
28 Apr
San Marzano
1 : 0
Boreale
21 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 2
Boreale
13 Apr
Boreale
1 : 4
Cavese
07 Apr
Nuova Florida
1 : 0
Boreale
Page 1 of 6

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavese 34 24 6 4 57:24 78
2 Nocerina 34 17 11 6 45:27 62
3 Romana 34 17 10 7 50:33 61
4 Ischia 34 16 12 6 42:25 60
5 Cassino 34 16 10 8 39:22 58
6 Flaminia 34 12 14 8 42:36 50
7 Ostiamare 34 13 8 13 53:42 47
8 Cynthialbalonga 34 12 11 11 44:37 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:50 46
10 San Marzano 34 10 13 11 36:36 43
11 Trastevere Calcio 34 10 8 16 41:50 38
12 Atletico Uri 34 10 7 17 30:48 37
13 Latte Dolce 34 9 10 15 32:42 37
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 9 8 17 38:59 35
15 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
16 Nuova Florida 34 9 12 13 36:44 33
17 Boreale 34 4 15 15 20:44 27
18 Budoni Calcio 34 5 11 18 27:49 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 (Play Out)