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Borec vs Turnovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2017/2018
Sat, Oct 21, 2017
3 - 0
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Borec play Turnovo in the Division 1 2017/2018. Borec are favorites here. Recently, Borec averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Turnovo averaged 1 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. In past meetings, Borec won 1, Turnovo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 24, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Borec and 0.94 for Turnovo. This points to a Borec double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Borec
15%
Draws
27%
Turnovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Borec picked up more points recently compared to Turnovo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Borec Clean Sheet 24%
Turnovo Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borec Turnovo
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 2. MFL
Turnovo vs Borec
0:0
Oct 21, 2017 2. MFL
Borec vs Turnovo
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borec 57 / 100
Turnovo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borec Turnovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Borec & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Borec attacking → ← attacking Turnovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borec scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Turnovo let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Borec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Turnovo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 10
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belasica Strumica25185281:1159
2Borec25165443:1553
3Bregalnica Stip25158254:2053
4Kozuf Gevgelija25124934:3340
5Tikves251221145:4337
6Plackovica25931340:5030
7Kamenica Sasa25741432:4225
8Osogovo25541626:5319
9Pobeda Valandovo25251825:9510
10Turnovo91088:263
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Makedonija GP27175549:2356
2KF Gostivar27166548:2654
3Vellazerimi27165646:2753
4Struga27136844:3045
5FK Labunishta27119739:2542
6Teteks271231242:4239
7Gorno Lisice271051232:4635
8Lok. Skopje27681330:4126
9Zajazi27451824:6217
10Novaci27242123:559