Sport Picks
Boreham Wood vs Carlisle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Meadow Park, Borehamwood 
Match Events
25'
25'
Bainbridge O.
55'
55'
Booty R.
58'
58'
Sub
Ajiboye D. In: Luamba J.
Out: Ajiboye D.
AI Match Summary
Boreham Wood in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boreham Wood.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boreham Wood
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Boreham Wood lately — more wins on the board than Carlisle.
- Win probability leans Boreham Wood's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 17%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boreham Wood | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League
Boreham Wood vs Carlisle
2:1
May 3, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Boreham Wood
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 National League
Boreham Wood vs Carlisle
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 National League
Carlisle vs Boreham Wood
3:3
Nov 19, 2013 FA Cup
Carlisle vs Boreham Wood
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boreham Wood Compare
Top Goalscorer Bird J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Wearne S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boreham Wood 84 / 100
Carlisle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boreham Wood Carlisle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boreham Wood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boreham Wood's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Carlisle let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Boreham Wood has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Boreham Wood VS Carlisle
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Boreham Wood
(Home) 03 Oct
Boreham Wood
3 : 1 Altrincham
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1 Kidderminster
26 Sept
Solihull Moors
0 : 3 Boreham Wood
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2 Everton U21
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Boreham Wood
3 : 1 Altrincham
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1 Kidderminster
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2 Everton U21
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
Carlisle
(Away) 03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3 Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3 Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
28 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
