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Boreham Wood vs Rochdale

England England

National League 2025/2026 Wembley Stadium
Sun, May 10, 2026
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rush M.
Assist: Abdulmalik A.
46'
Sub
Barlow A. In: Pritchard J.
Out: Barlow A.
57'
Bush Ch.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Boreham Wood and Rochdale finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochdale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Boreham Wood
20%
Draws
38%
Rochdale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Rochdale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Boreham Wood's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 19%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boreham Wood Rochdale
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 National League
Boreham Wood vs Rochdale
2:3
Feb 3, 2026 National League
Rochdale vs Boreham Wood
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Boreham Wood vs Rochdale
0:2
Apr 16, 2024 National League
Rochdale vs Boreham Wood
0:0
Sep 19, 2023 National League
Boreham Wood vs Rochdale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Rush M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulmalik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dieseruvwe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boreham Wood 42 / 100
Rochdale 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boreham Wood Rochdale

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boreham Wood's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rochdale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Boreham Wood has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boreham Wood VS Rochdale
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rochdale-
TBD-
Scunthorpe1
Southend0
Carlisle-
TBD-
Boreham Wood1
Forest Green0
Semi-finals
Rochdale2
Scunthorpe1
Carlisle1
Boreham Wood2
Final
Rochdale3
Boreham Wood2