Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boreham Wood vs Rochdale

England England

National League 2025/2026 Wembley Stadium, London
Boreham Wood Logo

Boreham Wood

Sun, May 10, 2026
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Rochdale Logo

Rochdale

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rush M.
Assist: Abdulmalik A.
46'
Sub
Barlow A. In: Pritchard J.
Out: Barlow A.
57'
Bush Ch.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Rochdale advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Boreham Wood
15%
Draws
31%
Rochdale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Boreham Wood carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Boreham Wood's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Boreham Wood have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 18%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boreham Wood Rochdale
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 23 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.59 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 National League
Boreham Wood vs Rochdale
2:3
Feb 3, 2026 National League
Rochdale vs Boreham Wood
4:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Boreham Wood vs Rochdale
0:2
Apr 16, 2024 National League
Rochdale vs Boreham Wood
0:0
Sep 19, 2023 National League
Boreham Wood vs Rochdale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Rush M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulmalik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dieseruvwe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boreham Wood 76 / 100
Rochdale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boreham Wood Rochdale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boreham Wood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boreham Wood scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

Rochdale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Boreham Wood went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boreham Wood VS Rochdale
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boreham Wood

(Home)
29 Sept
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Kidderminster
26 Sept
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Boreham Wood
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2
Everton U21
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 6

Rochdale

(Away)
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4
Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0
Rochdale
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rochdale -
TBD -
Scunthorpe 1
Southend 0
Carlisle -
TBD -
Boreham Wood 1
Forest Green 0
Semi-finals
Rochdale 2
Scunthorpe 1
Carlisle 1
Boreham Wood 2
Final
Rochdale 3
Boreham Wood 2