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Borgaro vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Fernandez L.
34' Event
Oubakent H.
52' Event
Massari M.

AI Match Summary

Cairese in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cairese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Borgaro
15%
Draws
28%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Cairese have won more games recently than Borgaro.
  • Model gives Cairese a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 22%
Cairese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro Cairese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Cairese
1:3
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Borgaro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Massari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oubakent H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 21 / 100
Cairese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cairese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Borgaro's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cairese has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Cairese has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cairese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)