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Borgaro vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
D'Antoni R.
59' Event
D'Antoni R.

AI Match Summary

Sanremese in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanremese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Borgaro
20%
Draws
46%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanremese lately — more wins on the board than Borgaro.
  • Model gives Sanremese a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sanremese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 19%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro Sanremese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Sanremese
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Borgaro
3:0
Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Sanremese
1:1
Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Borgaro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Antoni R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 12 / 100
Sanremese 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sanremese has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Borgaro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanremese
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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Sanremese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)