Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borgosesia Calcio vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Manara N.
31' Event
Barbagiovanni A.
35' Event
Marangoni L.

AI Match Summary

Alba in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Borgosesia Calcio
20%
Draws
51%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alba lately — more wins on the board than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Alba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Alba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Alba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.52 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Alba
2:4
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Manara N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tobia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbagiovanni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marangoni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 23 / 100
Alba 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Borgosesia Calcio scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Borgosesia Calcio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Alba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
21 Apr
Alcione Milano
3 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)