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Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gerbino S.
57' Event
Massaro G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Borgosesia Calcio
35%
Draws
16%
Bra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bra lately — more wins on the board than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • Borgosesia Calcio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Bra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Bra
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.62 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra
1:1
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra
1:2
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Bra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerbino S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Massaro G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 59 / 100
Bra 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Bra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Borgosesia Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Bra
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6

Bra

(Away)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 5 4 0 1 9:7 12
2 AS Biellese 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 Derthona FbC 5 3 2 0 6:3 11
4 Gozzano 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Saluzzo 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
6 Millesimo 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Imperia Calcio 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Asti Calcio 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
9 Ligorna 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
10 GSD Lascaris 5 2 1 2 3:6 7
11 Fezzanese 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
12 Borgosesia Calcio 5 1 3 1 5:6 6
13 Chisola 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Sanremese 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Sestri Levante 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
16 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
17 Valenzana 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)