Sport Picks
Borgosesia Calcio vs Casale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 
Match Events
28'
28'
Fossati D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Borgosesia Calcio and Casale finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borgosesia Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Borgosesia Calcio come out ahead of Casale on wins alone.
- Model gives Borgosesia Calcio a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Casale Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Borgosesia Calcio | Casale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Casale
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Borgosesia Calcio
5:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Casale
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Borgosesia Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Fossati D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Casale Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Borgosesia Calcio 75 / 100
Casale 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Borgosesia Calcio Casale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Borgosesia Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Casale lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Borgosesia Calcio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Borgosesia Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0 AC Chieri
14 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 1 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 3
Casale
(Away) 07 May
Casale
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1 Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2 Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2 Castanese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1 Casale
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Casale
02 Apr
Bra
3 : 1 Casale
11 Mar
Fezzanese
5 : 0 Casale
26 Feb
Stresa Vergante
2 : 0 Casale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 77:29 | 94 |
| 2 | Sanremese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Bra | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:31 | 74 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:40 | 69 |
| 5 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Legnano | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 53:35 | 60 |
| 7 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 44:35 | 57 |
| 8 | Gozzano | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 54:54 | 52 |
| 10 | PDHA | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 51:55 | 46 |
| 12 | AC Chieri | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 45 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Chisola | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 38:44 | 42 |
| 16 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 55:62 | 42 |
| 17 | Castanese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43:57 | 39 |
| 18 | Stresa Vergante | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37:47 | 34 |
| 19 | Casale | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28:79 | 24 |
| 20 | Fossano | 38 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 40:80 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)
