Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borgosesia Calcio vs Castellazzo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Borgosesia Calcio
35%
Draws
24%
Castellazzo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Castellazzo at 0.9 per game, Borgosesia Calcio at 0.64.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Borgosesia Calcio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Castellazzo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.64 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Castellazzo
2:2
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:1
Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:1
Oct 14, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Castellazzo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 84 / 100
Castellazzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Castellazzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castellazzo conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Borgosesia Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Borgosesia Calcio found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Castellazzo
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Castellazzo

(Away)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)