Sport Picks
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group A 
Match Events
72'
72'
Jebbar M.
AI Match Summary
Sestri Levante in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestri Levante.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Sestri Levante have won more games recently than Borgosesia Calcio.
- Model gives Borgosesia Calcio a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Borgosesia Calcio | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.62 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sestri Levante
0:1
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia Calcio
4:2
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sestri Levante
3:0
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Sestri Levante
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Borgosesia Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Sestri Levante Compare
Top Goalscorer Jebbar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Borgosesia Calcio 59 / 100
Sestri Levante 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Borgosesia Calcio Sestri Levante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sestri Levante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Borgosesia Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Sestri Levante lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Borgosesia Calcio VS Sestri Levante
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Borgosesia Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0 AC Chieri
14 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 1 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 3
Sestri Levante
(Away) 04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Biellese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 5 | Asti Calcio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Chisola | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Imperia Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | GSD Lascaris | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sanremese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Borgosesia Calcio | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Bra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
