Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Borgosesia Calcio and Varese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Varese come out ahead of Borgosesia Calcio on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Varese Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Borgosesia Calcio | Varese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 15 |
| Losses | 22 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Varese
1:1
Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:1
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Varese
0:0
Sep 24, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Borgosesia Calcio 36 / 100
Varese 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Borgosesia Calcio Varese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Borgosesia Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Varese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Borgosesia Calcio VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Borgosesia Calcio
(Home) 20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0 AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0 AC Chieri
14 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 1 Lavagnese
28 Mar
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Gozzano
Page 1 of 4
Varese
(Away) 13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0 Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1 Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1 AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0 Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1 Varese
Page 1 of 6
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0 Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1 Varese
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1 Varese
29 Mar
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Varese
18 Mar
Pavia
0 : 5 Varese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gozzano | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 68:25 | 82 |
| 2 | Como | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 58:27 | 81 |
| 3 | Caronnese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:30 | 74 |
| 4 | AC Chieri | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 64:37 | 71 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 69:43 | 67 |
| 6 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 45:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Inveruno | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 44:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37:46 | 50 |
| 10 | Bra | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:51 | 49 |
| 11 | Pavia | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:58 | 47 |
| 12 | Borgaro | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 35:44 | 46 |
| 13 | Olginatese | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 37:44 | 45 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:54 | 44 |
| 15 | OltrepoVoghera | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34:47 | 43 |
| 16 | Casale | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:48 | 42 |
| 17 | Varesina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 18 | Varese | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 47:49 | 40 |
| 19 | Calcio Derthona | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 25:62 | 26 |
| 20 | Castellazzo | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 32:78 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
