Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borja vs Atletico Monzon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Uson M.
19' Event
Fred Junior
77' Event
Fred Junior

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 game between Borja and Atletico Monzon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Monzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Borja
15%
Draws
85%
Atletico Monzon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Monzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Monzon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Monzon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico Monzon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Borja Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borja Atletico Monzon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.4 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Atletico Monzon
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Borja
3:0
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Borja
2:0
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Atletico Monzon
0:3
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Atletico Monzon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borja Compare

Top Goalscorer Uson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Atletico Monzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fred Junior
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borja 10 / 100
Atletico Monzon 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borja Atletico Monzon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Monzon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Monzon conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Borja scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Monzon's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Monzon
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borja

(Home)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Monzon

(Away)
26 Sept
Atletico Monzon
2 : 1
Almudevar
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Atletico Monzon
4 : 3
Robres
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)