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Borja vs CD Caspe

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Rotellar F.
79' Event
Taboada E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 game between Borja and CD Caspe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Borja
20%
Draws
80%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Caspe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Caspe come out ahead of Borja on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on CD Caspe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Borja Clean Sheet 20%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borja CD Caspe
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs CD Caspe
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Borja
1:0
Jan 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs CD Caspe
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Borja
0:0
May 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Borja
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CD Caspe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotellar F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borja 10 / 100
CD Caspe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borja CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Caspe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Caspe has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Borja scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

CD Caspe's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Caspe
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borja

(Home)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

CD Caspe

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Caspe
1 : 1
Zaragoza B
13 Sept
Huesca B
1 : 0
CD Caspe
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)