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Borja vs Utrillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Taboada E.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Pandiella L.
47' Event
Garcia G.

AI Match Summary

Utrillas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utrillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Borja
20%
Draws
80%
Utrillas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Utrillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utrillas lately — more wins on the board than Borja.
  • Model gives Utrillas a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Borja Clean Sheet 20%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borja Utrillas
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.4 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Utrillas
1:5
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Borja
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Utrillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pandiella L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borja 24 / 100
Utrillas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borja Utrillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utrillas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Utrillas let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Borja's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Utrillas registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Utrillas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borja

(Home)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

Utrillas

(Away)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)